Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.041533 0.047183 0.053472 0.061019 0.069867 0.079952 0.092380
2024-10-06 0.034397 0.042305 0.051987 0.064843 0.081658 0.103170 0.133212
2024-10-13 0.027722 0.035859 0.046451 0.061486 0.082670 0.112053 0.156978
2024-10-20 0.023863 0.032116 0.043395 0.060299 0.085624 0.123231 0.185440
2024-10-27 0.020850 0.028981 0.040546 0.058676 0.087290 0.132360 0.212274
2024-11-03 0.019285 0.027633 0.039967 0.060159 0.093692 0.149698 0.256268
2024-11-10 0.018006 0.026514 0.039521 0.061677 0.100251 0.168336 0.307013
2024-11-17 0.016589 0.025000 0.038242 0.061586 0.103947 0.182489 0.352670
2024-11-24 0.015204 0.023380 0.036585 0.060581 0.105764 0.193358 0.394292
2024-12-01 0.014267 0.022383 0.035829 0.061021 0.110275 0.210256 0.453750
2024-12-08 0.013380 0.021377 0.034939 0.061073 0.113993 0.226179 0.515586
2024-12-15 0.012662 0.020587 0.034334 0.061561 0.118632 0.244972 0.590501
2024-12-22 0.011610 0.019189 0.032616 0.059909 0.119038 0.255536 0.650959
2024-12-29 0.011336 0.019158 0.033419 0.063464 0.131620 0.298558 0.824069
2025-01-05 0.010250 0.017546 0.031075 0.060180 0.128030 0.300238 0.870687
2025-01-12 0.009529 0.016548 0.029809 0.059022 0.129263 0.314991 0.967986
2025-01-19 0.008838 0.015546 0.028435 0.057440 0.129179 0.326155 1.058479
2025-01-26 0.008524 0.015237 0.028414 0.058886 0.137040 0.362431 1.264931
2025-02-02 0.008235 0.014952 0.028410 0.060365 0.145306 0.402571 1.513713
2025-02-09 0.007829 0.014397 0.027783 0.060277 0.149283 0.430357 1.727025
2025-02-16 0.007381 0.013724 0.026841 0.059297 0.150560 0.449594 1.913422
2025-02-23 0.007084 0.013335 0.026481 0.059726 0.156078 0.485661 2.216884
2025-03-02 0.006779 0.012909 0.025998 0.059776 0.160488 0.519314 2.537209